Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.188862 0.212942 0.238348 0.267092 0.298653 0.332195 0.370477
2025-06-01 0.155332 0.187586 0.223511 0.266299 0.315668 0.370633 0.436240
2025-06-08 0.130992 0.168040 0.211300 0.265126 0.329859 0.404738 0.497406
2025-06-15 0.115751 0.156666 0.206462 0.270808 0.350964 0.446695 0.568760
2025-06-22 0.101126 0.143978 0.198191 0.270726 0.364018 0.478676 0.628788
2025-06-29 0.089137 0.133090 0.190741 0.270379 0.375817 0.508769 0.686955
2025-07-06 0.079157 0.123646 0.184015 0.269918 0.386713 0.537453 0.743777
2025-07-13 0.072013 0.117281 0.180651 0.273283 0.402259 0.572197 0.809149
2025-07-20 0.067064 0.113493 0.180360 0.280504 0.422937 0.614070 0.884951
2025-07-27 0.061236 0.107736 0.176645 0.282368 0.435920 0.645693 0.947730
2025-08-03 0.057318 0.104495 0.176250 0.288755 0.455247 0.686328 1.023712
2025-08-10 0.054032 0.101906 0.176534 0.295956 0.475790 0.729076 1.103645
2025-08-17 0.048748 0.095648 0.170869 0.294085 0.483340 0.754339 1.160900
2025-08-24 0.044333 0.090405 0.166361 0.293598 0.492740 0.782376 1.222786
2025-08-31 0.040278 0.085360 0.161740 0.292530 0.501014 0.808841 1.283008
2025-09-07 0.037980 0.083244 0.161772 0.298807 0.520685 0.852504 1.369239
2025-09-14 0.034816 0.079174 0.158142 0.298782 0.530337 0.881371 1.434390
2025-09-21 0.031914 0.075292 0.154508 0.298440 0.539304 0.909290 1.498690
2025-09-28 0.029272 0.071632 0.150965 0.297958 0.547872 0.936674 1.562720
2025-10-05 0.027446 0.069440 0.149898 0.301620 0.563236 0.974857 1.643939
2025-10-12 0.026310 0.068575 0.151208 0.309461 0.585730 1.024696 1.744104
2025-10-19 0.024535 0.066139 0.149351 0.311487 0.598437 1.059349 1.821568
2025-10-26 0.023468 0.065157 0.150206 0.318417 0.619645 1.108000 1.921841